Mick Bows Out; Dane Flares
Hey Crew,
Appreciate you guys dropping by. If you didn’t know, I got knocked from the Quiksilver Pro today. Pretty bummed, obviously. Everything was feeling good, just couldn’t connect with a decent second wave in my heat. I managed one solid score (8.97) but couldn’t find a second. Kai Otton was in my heat and found a couple of solid scores to get the win (7.73, 8.03). He was ripping so well done Otts. I stuck around for the rest of the day and watched the quarter finals unfold. Dane did some of the best heat surfing I’ve ever seen… check highlights here. Below I’ve posted a stats wrap courtesy of Mike Newman at RAS Surfing Stats. Enjoy…
A ninth place finish in the first event of the year. © ASP
RAS Surf Stats Event One Gold Coast 2010… Day 5
Wow! That was amazing, round 4 was brilliant…
Through out round 4 there were upsets and close heats.
4 heats were separated by under 2.3 points with Mick going down to Kai by just 0.19 pts. Straight off the bat in heat 1 Adriano got past Ace by just 0.36 pts.
9 round 1 losers surfed in round 4 …
5 of those have gone through to the final 8.
Only 10 events in the last 46 events have been won by round 1 loses (22%)
These are events that have used the long method, three men round 1 heats.
9 of last years top 10 will start inside the top 9 with 16 surfers sharing the top 9 positions after event 1.
8 Surfers left in the event after round 4
What have they done here on the Gold Coast before
2002- 2009 Tour Years
3 have never been past round 4, “but they have now”…
(Otton (2) .. Reynolds .. Smith (2))
1 has made the semis but never been to the final
(Martinez)
3 have been runner up in the event
(Burrow .. Durbidge .. de Sousa)
1 has won the event before
(Parkinson (2)
The Final 8 Average Results on the Gold Coast
Parko has an average event result here of 5.50 in 8 years.
Taj of 8.13 in 8 years.
De Sousa 7.75 in 4 years.
Jordy 9.0 in 2 years.
Bede 12.00 in 5 years.
Otton 17.00 in 3 years.
Bobby 17.50 in 4 years.
Reynolds 23.00 in 4 years.
The round 4 winners and the final 8 left in the event are…
Aussies 4 … USA 2 … ZAF & Brazil 1 each.
7 have come from within the top 11 ratings from 2009 and Kai Otton last years number 17.
5 of the final 8 have won a Dream Tour event before.
There are 3 without a title yet… Dane & Kai have both been to a 1 final earlier in their careers for a 2nd each. Jordy has been as far as the semis before for two 3rds..
Quarter Final Series …
Four first class heats with 3 scores over 17 and an average between the 8 surfers of 15.81.
In round 3 Bede posted his second 19 plus score of his career. 19.30
His best was his 19.40 he posted on the Gold Coast in 2007.
In the quarter finals Dane posted his second 19 plus score of his career. 19.20
Danes equal best was his 19.20 he posted at J-Bay in 2009.
5 surfers in the Quarter finals were round 1 losers…
Only 10 events in the last 46 events have been won by round 1 loses (22%)
Only counting back events that have used the long method, three man round 1 heats.
9 of last years top 10 will start inside the top 9 with 16 surfers sharing the top 9 positions after event 1.
Semi Showdowns…
There are now just 3 heats left in the event till they Crown a Champion for two10…
The Quarter Final Winners and the 4 Semi Finalist left in the event are…
USA 2 … Aussies 1 … ZAF 1
2 of the final 4 have won a Dream Tour event before.
There are 2 without a title yet…
Dane has been to 1 final earlier in their career for a 2nd.
Jordy has been as far as the semis before for two 3rds.
Now they face off in semi number two for a crack at a title.
So there will defiantly be a first time champion possibility with one of the two to make the final.
All 4 surfers in the Semis finals are round 1 losers, they all came through the 2nd round to the finals, first time I have seen this…
Only 10 events in the last 46 events have been won by round 1 losers (22%)
Only counting back events that have used the long method, three man round 1 heats.
The top 12 average scores in 2010 and ladder position pre Semis, Event 1…
16.22 Fanning 9th
15.90 Durbidge 5th
15.68 Parkinson 5th
15.44 Slater 9th
14.79 de Sousa 5th
14.71 Andre 17th
14.51 Patacchia 9th
14.48 Smith ???
14.27 Knox 17th
14.21 Burrow ???
14.13 Gudauskas 33rd
14.02 Pirez 17th
2009 top 5; Fanning 14.96 .. Slater 14.69 .. Reynolds 14.61 .. Parkinson 14.60 .. Burrow 14.02
There has only been one score over 19.00 in Dream Tour history that has lost a heat.
It was here on the Gold Coast , 19.10
38.63 – Quar’ final 2007 Mick Fanning 19.53 d Josh Kerr 19.10
The second highest combined total in history..
The highest was 2004 Fiji Final between Damien and A.I…
Damien Hobgood USA 19.90 def Andy Irons Hawaii 18.96 (38.86)
The Semi Finals might be tomorrow or next week!!!
Aloha,
Mike Newman
RAS Sports surfing stats
Studying video footage of my heat post loss. © ASP
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